Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.149602 0.164017 0.178714 0.194790 0.211853 0.229395 0.248764
2024-12-22 0.122656 0.144113 0.167013 0.193146 0.222016 0.252812 0.288024
2024-12-29 0.108617 0.135430 0.165167 0.200291 0.240338 0.284283 0.335852
2025-01-05 0.096751 0.127297 0.162356 0.205016 0.254965 0.311064 0.378289
2025-01-12 0.086464 0.119597 0.158835 0.207866 0.266621 0.333937 0.416036
2025-01-19 0.077143 0.111949 0.154410 0.208783 0.275323 0.352916 0.449021
2025-01-26 0.075086 0.113023 0.160346 0.222051 0.298722 0.389266 0.502640
2025-02-02 0.068892 0.108093 0.158231 0.224921 0.309166 0.410012 0.537752
2025-02-09 0.064068 0.104503 0.157430 0.229114 0.321015 0.432350 0.574811
2025-02-16 0.058152 0.098882 0.153518 0.228921 0.327065 0.447415 0.602982
2025-02-23 0.056711 0.099403 0.157687 0.239207 0.346445 0.479059 0.651683
2025-03-02 0.056026 0.100890 0.163104 0.251139 0.368016 0.513597 0.704233
2025-03-09 0.051445 0.096509 0.160475 0.252560 0.376463 0.532421 0.738404
2025-03-16 0.045453 0.089537 0.153859 0.248319 0.377377 0.541753 0.760949
2025-03-23 0.043458 0.088641 0.155854 0.255928 0.394092 0.571479 0.809555
2025-03-30 0.040975 0.086740 0.156225 0.261176 0.407641 0.597228 0.853349
2025-04-06 0.038183 0.084080 0.155274 0.264410 0.418402 0.619389 0.892709
2025-04-13 0.035098 0.080641 0.152916 0.265441 0.426035 0.637430 0.926848
2025-04-20 0.035681 0.083625 0.160520 0.281092 0.454065 0.682633 0.996510
2025-04-27 0.033442 0.081390 0.159832 0.284467 0.464988 0.705218 1.036942
2025-05-04 0.031711 0.079922 0.160244 0.289404 0.478091 0.730773 1.081409
2025-05-11 0.029064 0.076501 0.157320 0.289175 0.483791 0.746371 1.112868
2025-05-18 0.028999 0.078023 0.162486 0.301277 0.507165 0.785972 1.176218